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  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    +285
    (80%)
    4-1 in Last 5 NCAAF Picks
    UNLV
    -190
    Money Line
    Picked: Oct 26 @ 9:35pm

    Analysis

    UNLV had the week off and returns home this week, where they face 5-3 New Mexico. UNLV comes off a loss at Boise State, which was their first loss of the season, making them 6-1. No sweat on undefeated UNLV talk because it's never happened. Their average score is 37-33 with a balanced offensive attack, but the 131st-ranked defense is allowing 461 yards per game. However, they don't make mistakes. They are No. 2 in the nation with a +10 turnover margin. I think UNLV wins this game with an extra week to prepare.
  • expert headshot
    Bruce Marshall
    #2
    +1513
    (77%)
    23-7-3 in Last 33 NCAAF Picks
    KSTATE +8
    -109
    Spread
    Picked: Oct 27 @ 3:07pm

    Analysis

    While there continues to a buzz around Texas Tech, we'd still suggest pumping the brakes, as the Red Raiders might be down to third QB Mitch Griffis (albeit with starting experience beforehand at Wake Forest), who admittedly was quite serviceable in last week's romp past Oklahoma State. This price, however, seems to completely dismiss a revived K-State, which has played like many thought it would this season since its mid-September bye. That followed a tough 1-3 start, but the Cats are scoring almost 39 ppg since in their four straight covers, while QB Avery Johnson has tossed 9 TD passes vs. just 1 pick in those past four games. Note eight straight wins for the Wildcats vs. the Red Raiders, too. Play K-State
  • expert headshot
    Bruce Marshall
    #2
    +1513
    (77%)
    23-7-3 in Last 33 NCAAF Picks
    BOISE -17.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Oct 27 @ 3:17pm

    Analysis

    Things might be starting to unravel at Fresno, which not long ago had won five straight but has been outscored 72-21 in back-to-back losses to CSU and SD State. Moreover, no spread covers in four, and HC Matt Entz has recently benched error-prone QB EJ Warner, though the offense didn't score with backup Carson Conklin last Saturday against the Aztecs. Meanwhile, note Boise's win margin in its six victories is a robust 24 ppg, with the Broncos scoring 44.6 pg in their six wins. The "new Ashton Jeanty," RB Dylan Riley, recently rushed for 201 yards in Boise's 56-31 romp past UNLV. Play Boise State
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1698
    (68%)
    43-20 in Last 63 NCAAF Picks
    SMU +11.5
    -114
    Spread
    WIN
    Picked: Oct 26 @ 3:44pm

    Analysis

    I really, really, really hope I'm wrong about my Canes but this feels like such a massive trap, and they probably can't afford another loss for any at-large playoff hopes. (I'm even more concerned with the likely cold-weather finale in Pittsburgh.) It's the first time the U has left the state of Florida, and it's almost November. Our model has SMU -- very well coached by former UM offensive coordinator Rhett Lashlee -- winning outright. I don't rule that out, sadly. Will happily be wrong here but in no way do I trust Mario to win this type of game by at least 12 barring some craziness.
  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    Casale on Campus
    Navy
    Over 28.5
    -112
    Away Team Total
    LOSS
    Picked: Oct 26 @ 11:59pm

    Analysis

    Navy has eclipsed this total in six of seven games this season. Blake Horvath and the Midshipmen offense should have success against a North Texas defense that ranks 129th in rush defense. The Mean Green allowed 387 rushing yards to Army and 306 to South Florida. Those two teams combined to score 101 points. Win or lose, I think Navy puts up at least 30 on Saturday.

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